December rains will now occur in January, with less winter rains also predicted. Wait a little longer for winter rains as the last ten days of December are unlikely to start raining while January and February are also likely to see less than normal rains.
In the remaining days of this year, the weather will remain dry in the plains of Punjab and Sindh.
If you are also waiting for winter after the autumn season has passed, then know that the long wait is not over yet and you will have to face the effects of dry weather for a few more days.
According to Zaheeruddin Babar, Director of Meteorological Department, December this year is unusually dry and there has been no substantial rain in most parts of the country, especially in the plains of the country, the weather is dry and now it is winter. The remaining months are January and February.
According to him, 'regular winter rains will now fall in January 2023, after which the temperature will drop and the cold will increase.'
According to the Department of Meteorology, this year the total number of rains is less than normal. In the last week of December, light rain may occur at some places in the hilly areas of Kashmir, Gilgit-Baltistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. There will be no rain in the plains of Punjab and Sindh, but the Potohar region, including Islamabad, Rawalpindi and Murree, will be cloudy, with light rain or drizzle and light snowfall in remote hilly areas.
According to Zaheeruddin Babar, the winter rains are generally limited to Gilgit-Baltistan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, some upper plains of Upper Sindh of Punjab, northwestern parts of Balochistan.
According to him, this winter in January and February, there is a possibility of less than average rains, but heavy snowfall may also occur in some mountainous areas.
"The duration of winter is shrinking in Pakistan"
With the end of October, when the eleventh month of the year begins, especially the people living in the upper regions start preparing for the arrival of winter and as soon as the first rain of winter rains, vests, globands, jerseys, coats and An attempt is made to avoid the severity of cold by using warm socks, but these days, a sweater worn in the morning starts to burn in the sun.
Is this intensity of sunshine unusual in December? This question was answered by the former DG Meteorological Department, Dr. Ghulam Rasool, who is currently associated with IUCN, an international organization working for the survival of the environment.
According to him, in the third week of December, the night temperature in Islamabad used to reach zero, which is three to four degrees Celsius these days. If we talk about Islamabad, the sun is hot even during the day and the temperature is going to be three to four degrees Celsius higher than normal these days.
According to Ghulam Rasool, every year the summer record is being made. The cold has not come yet. Until a few years ago, coats and sweaters used to come out in Islamabad in October, now the duration of winter is shrinking.
According to him, this time, winter has not yet come in the upper regions. Pakistan has seen changes in weather patterns due to climate change for two decades.
According to Dr. Ghulam Rasool, "Pakistan is in its third year of La Niña (climate change system due to changes in sea water temperature) and this pattern will end by March-April."
Under the influence of La Niña, monsoon rains are high and winter rains are low. This is the reason why there have been no rains in winter and the rains that will happen are predicted to be a little less than normal.
What happens if there are no rains on time?
The lack of winter rains has negative effects on human health in addition to other damages of dry season.
According to health experts, more and more frequent flu, skin, eye and respiratory diseases are increasing but it has another very negative effect on our crops.
According to Dr. Ghulam Rasool, due to the lack of rain in December, farmers pray for rain with their hands on their hands, while the rains of late January and February cause damage to the crops.
According to him, "The winter rains started from mid-November and gradually with light rhythm these rains fell continuously for several days which gave growth to the wheat crop and the crop flourished."
Dr. Ghulam Rasool says that late winter rains have a negative impact on the crop. When the grain of wheat is formed, at that time the crop needs a dry season so that the crop ripens and the stages of harvesting are completed.
According to him, now when the wheat is ready, the delayed rain falls. So due to this untimely rain, on one hand the quality falls, on the other hand the quantity of the crop decreases.
According to the Meteorological Department, this year, while the overall winter rains will be a little less than the average, due to the decrease in the rains, the temperature in the upper regions may also be a little higher than normal.
However, regarding the snowfall in the mountainous areas, the Meteorological Department has informed that the situation becomes intense at any time during the snowfall and there is a need to be very careful in this regard.